Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.
Sportsbooks prefer you wager solely on marquee games and make multiple parlays. I do not oblige. That may entail taking days off or passing on exciting matchups. Winning takes occasional discipline but the good opportunities will present themselves – if one is mildly patient.
MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager.
LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.
completed plays / results
TUESDAY, APRIL 30(-12.05 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Pacers 2H -5 (-115) at Bucks L, 2x Pacers/Bucks 2H under 110.5 (-105) W, 3x PHI/NYK under 194.5 L, 4x Sixers Team Total under 92.5 -105 L, 4x Sixers Team Total over 89.5 -115 W, 4x Knicks -6.5 vs. Sixers L, 5x Knicks -2.5 vs. Sixers L
Straight plays: 3.5x Bobby Portis over 21.5 points (-105) W. 1.5x Bobby Portis over 1.5 made 3-points (+125) L, 0.2x Portis to lead game in scoring (+500) P/W, 3x Tyrese Maxey over 25.5 points (+100) W, 1x Jalen Brunson under 34.5 (-115) L, 1x Magic (+4.5) at Cavs W, 0.25x Magic in 6 games over Cavs +350 L
MONDAY, APRIL 29(-2.80 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x BOS/MIA 2H under 100.5 L, 5x Heat 2H +1.5 vs. Celtics W, 5x LAL/DEN under 207.5 L
Straight plays: 3x Jonas Valanciunas under 17.5 Points + Rebounds (+100) L, 2x Celtics (-10.5) at Heat W, 2x Thunder (-5) at Pelicans W
SUNDAY, APRIL 28(-14.95 units)
In-game / 2H plays: 5x Mavs ML (-140) vs. Clippers L, 5x Mavs -1.5 vs. Clippers L, 5x Suns +3.5 vs. T’Wolves L, 5x Suns +3.5 (-105) at T’Wolves L
Straight wagers: 3x Jalen Brunson under 31.5 points (-120) L, 2x Clippers/Mavs under 209.5 L, 4x Kawhi Leonard under 19.5 points P-DNP, 3x Ivica Zubac over 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-105) L, 5x Timberwolves -1 at Suns W, 5x T’Wolves -1.5 at Suns W
March 21 future: 1x Jamahl Mosley NBA Coach of Year (+2100) L
March 13 future: 3x Mark Daigneault NBA Coach of the Year (-220) W
Feb. 27 future: 5x Mark Daigneault NBA Coach of the Year (-145) W
SATURDAY, APRIL 27 (+10.75 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x OKC/NO under 203.5 (-105) W, 4x Miami Heat Team Total under 91.5 (-120) W, 5x Celtics -12.5 at Heat W
Straights: 5x Magic -2 vs. Cavs W, 5x Nuggets -3 at Lakers L
UFC Fight Night: 0.5x Alex Perez +150 W, 1x David Onama Inside the Distance +185 L, 0.3x Spann via DEC +1000 L, 0.2x Spann/Guskov to go distance +570 L
FRIDAY, APRIL 26 (+6.50 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Kawhi Leonard under 17.5 pts (-110) W, 5x Kawhi Leonard under 16.5 pts (-105) W
Straight wagers: 2x Clippers/Mavs under 210 W, 3x Ivica Zubac over 10.5 rebounds (+100) L, 3x Ivica Zubac over 22.5 Points + Rebounds (-110) W, 5x Suns (-4) vs. Timberwolves L
THURSDAY, APRIL 25 (+14.60 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Nuggets 2H -2 at Lakers W, 3x Lakers 2H team total under 51.5 L, 4x DEN/LAL 2H under 105.5 L
Straight plays: 3x Bo Nix over 32.5 (-125) L, 5x Magic -2 vs. Cavs W, 5x Sixers -4.5 vs. Knicks W, 3x Jalen Brunson under 28.5 points (+100) L, 1x Tyrese Maxey to lead NY/PHI game in scoring +320 L, 2x Lakers 1st Qtr -1 vs. Nuggets W
April 22 NFL Draft plays: 2x Brian Thomas over 19.5 (-145) W, 1.5x Chop Robinson under 26.5 (-200) W, 0.3x Byron Murphy Top 10 +300 L, 0.2x Joe Alt drafted Top 5 +425 W, 0.1x Exact order #1-3: Williams, Daniels, Harrison (+4400) L
April 21 NFL Draft plays: 2x Byron Murphy under 16.5 (-275) W, 0.5x under 4.5 QB in 1st Round (+200) L, 0.1x Raiders to draft TE with 1st pick (+6000) W, 1x Bo Nix over 32.5 (-210) L
April 18 futures: 5x Jayden Daniels #2 pick -110 W, 0.6x JJ McCarthy #2 pick +2000 L
March 26 future: 2x Coby White +220 NBA Most Improved Player of the Year L
Feb. 27 future: 4x Jayden Daniels NFL Draft #2 overall pick (+145) W
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 24(-14.90 units)
5x Jonas Valanciunas over 11.5 rebounds (+105) L, 1x Valanciunas over 13.5 rebounds (+194) L, 5x Valanciunas to lead NO/OKC game in rebounding (-125) W/P, 2x Valanciunas over 2.5 1st Quarter rebounds (-130) L, 5x Pelicans +7.5 at Thunder L, 3x Pelicans/Thunder under 211.5 L
TUESDAY, APRIL 23 (+5.7 units)
2H / in-game plays: 4x Suns/T’Wolves under 199.5 W, 3x Pacers/Bucks 2H under 113.5 L
Straights: 1x Dodgers (-215) at Nationals W, 1x Mets under 3.5 runs at Giants (-135) W, 2x Ivica Zubac double-double +100 W, 0.5x Luka Doncic Triple-double +245 L, 1.5x Luka Doncic over 8.5 points in 1st Quarter (-120) W
MONDAY, APRIL 22 (+2.5 units)
2H / in-game: 3x Lakers/Nuggets 2H under 113 W
2x Magic/Cavs under 202.5 W, 2.5x Jared Jones under 1.5 walks +115 L
SUNDAY, APRIL 21(-15.18 units)
2H / in-game wagers: 3x Pacers/Bucks 2H under 116.5 (-105) (DraftKings)
5x Thunder -8 vs. Pelicans L, 5x Pacers (-1) at Bucks L, 5x Mavs -1.5 at Clippers L
March 13 future: 0.08x Erik Spoelstra NBA Coach of the Year (+20,000)
Feb 7 future: 1x Jalen Brunson NBA Clutch Player of the Year +2600
Jan. 31 future: 0.2x Anthony Edwards NBA MVP 100-to-1 odds
Feb 1 futures: 0.2x Jalen Brunson NBA MVP 150-to-1 odds, 0.2x Kawhi Leonard NBA MVP 150-to-1 odds
SATURDAY, APRIL 20(-3.50 units)
2x Suns +2 at Timberwolves L, 2x Magic/Cavs under 207.5 W, 3x Lakers +7 at Nuggets L
FRIDAY, APRIL 19 (+2.28 units)
Straight: 5x Pelicans -1 vs. Kings W, 2x Jose Alvarado over 2.5 assists L, 0.5x Mookie Betts over 1.5 total bases -105 L
THURSDAY, APRIL 18 (+1.0 units)
1x Giants -150 vs. D’Backs W
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 17 (-1.40 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Heat ML +100 at Sixers L, 3x Sixers 2H -6.5 vs. Heat W, 5x Hawks/Bulls under 256.5 -105 W
Straight Plays: 0.2x Aaron Judge to hit HR in 1st AB on Wednesday +1100 L
Feb 25 Future: 3x Lakers to MISS the playoffs (-140) L
TUESDAY, APRIL 16 (-2.50 units)
2H / in-game plays: 4x LAL/NO 2H under 109.5 W, 3x LAL/NO under 214.5 +100 L, 1x LAL/NO over 207.5 in-game W
Straight wagers: 0.5x Phillies Team Total over 4.5 runs -135 W, 0.5x Dodgers Team Total over 5.5 runs -120 W, 5x Warriors -2.5 at Kings (-112) L
MONDAY, APRIL 15
No plays
SUNDAY, APRIL 14 (+21.90 units)
2H / in-game plays: 4x Hornets 2H +8.5 at Cavs -113 (FanDuel) W, 5x Hawks/Pacers 2H over 120 L, 5x Pacers 2H Team Total over 62.5 -105 W, 5x Grizzlies 2H +4 vs. Nuggets W, 4x Mavs 2H Team Total under 52.5 W
5x Nuggets 1H -8 at Grizzlies W, 5x Nuggets -13.5 at Grizzlies W
April 12 future: 0.1x Matt Fitzpatrick +7500 to win Masters L
April 10 futures: 0.3x Joaquin Niemann 30-1 to win Masters L, 0.2x Cam Smith 50-1 to win Masters L
SATURDAY, APRIL 13 (-5.69 units)
Masters: 1x Max Homa -105 over Bryson DeChambeau (3rd Round) (2-ball) W
UFC 300: 2x Figueiredo via KO/TKO or SUB -105 over Garbrandt (DraftKings) W, 2x Parlay -143: Figueiredo ML (-330) and Nickal/Brundage under 1.5 (-330) L, 1x Andrade over Rodrigues -145 W, 0.5x Andrade/Rodriguez over 2.5 rounds -130 W, 0.2x Andrade via SUB +650 L, 0.08x Moicano R3 SUB +2400 L, 0.22x Moicano by DEC +550 L, 1x Yusuff over Lopes +125 L, 3x Harrison/Holm ends Inside the Distance -112 (FanDuel) W, 2x Sterling/Kattar fight will NOT go the distance +125 (FanDuel) L, 0.25x Oliveira via SUB over Tsarukyan +450 L, 2x Gaethje/Holloway under 4.5 -110 L, 0.25x Holloway via KO +650 W, 1x Zhang Weili via SUB +420 L, 3x Weili/Xiaonan will NOT go distance -150 (risk 4.5x) L
FRIDAY, APRIL 12 (+18.28 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x Pacers +6.5 at Cavs (FanDuel) L, 2x CHA/BOS 2H under 110.5 L, 2x Bucks 2H +3.5 at Thunder W, 1x Bucks 2H ML +154 at Thunder L, 5x DET/DAL 2H under 110.5 W, 5x Spurs +9.5 vs. Nuggets (-105) (DraftKings) W, 3x Nuggets -7.5 at Spurs (+112) (FD) L, 3.5x Blazers 2H Team Total under 55.5 points (-105) L
5x Thunder -14 vs. Bucks W, 5x Cavs -3 vs. Pacers W, 5x Luke Kornet over 9.5 rebounds -115 (DraftKings) W, 3x Payton Pritchard over 22.5 points (-105) (FanDuel) W, 5x Victor Wembanyama over 4.5 assists (-115) (FanDuel) W
The Masters (posted April 10): 1x Tiger Woods to miss cut -115 (DraftKings) L, 1x: Phil Mickelson to make cut +110 (DraftKings) W, 2x: Gary Woodland over Tiger Woods -125 (Tournament Matchup)(FanDuel) L
Jan 9 future: 1x Zach Edey NO Wooden Award +230 L
THURSDAY, APRIL 11 (+5.0 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x GSW/POR 2H under 111.5 W
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 10 (+5.70 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Grizzlies 2H Team Total under 48.5 W, 2x Grizzlies/Cavs 2H under 109 P, 5x Mavs/Heat 2H under 106.5 W, 2x T’Wolves/Nuggets 2H under 110.5 L, 5x Bones Hyland over 34.5 points -105 (FanDuel) W
5x play: Suns 1H -6.5 at Clippers L
Feb 20 futures: .4x Jazz to make Western Conference play-in +1200 L, 0.2x Raptors to make Eastern Conference play-in +1200 L
Dec. 20 future: 1x Pistons under 9.5 wins adjusted total +900 L
TUESDAY, APRIL 9 (-11.30 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x GSW/LAL under 235.5 L, 5x Warriors -10.5 at Lakers W, 5x Lakers +12.5 vs. Warriors (+110) (FanDuel) L
5x plays: Peyton Pritchard over 11.5 points (+105) L, Sam Hauser over 10.5 points L
3x plays: Celtics/Bucks 1H over 117.5 L, Derrick White over 2.5 made three-pointers (-120) W, Wembanyama over 4.5 assists (-150) W
1x plays: Heat/Hawks over 222 W, Magic/Rockets over 215 W
MONDAY, APRIL 8 (+0.40 units)
2x plays: Donovan Clingan +180 to win M.O.P. L, Purdue/UConn under 145.5 W
1x plays: Braden Smith over 21.5 points + assists + rebounds (-125) W, Yankees (-1.5, +130) vs. Marlins W, Dodgers over 4.5 runs at Twins L
0.5x play: UConn (-7) vs. Purdue W
March 8 future: 0.3x on Duke 23-1 to win NCAA Tournament L
Jan. 9 futures: 0.7x Hunter Dickinson Wooden Award winner +1000 L, 0.3x Kyle Filipowski Wooden Award winner +4000 L
SUNDAY, APRIL 7 (+6.95 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Blazers +10.5 at Celtics -105 L, 0.5x Blazers ML +1100 at Celtics L, 3x Lakers 2H Team Total under 56.5 W
5x plays: D’Angelo Russell over 3.5 rebounds +105 W, D’Angelo Russell over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists +100 W
April 5 Future: 0.3x WCBB Tourney to have a buzzer-beater +3000 L
SATURDAY, APRIL 6 (+4.3 units)
2H / in-game plays: 3x Cavs/Lakers under 226.5 W
4x Chepe Mariscal +115 vs. Morgan Charriere (UFC) W, 2x Pistons/Nets under 215 L
1x plays: Chris Curtis +180 vs. Brendan Allen (UFC) L, NC State +9.5 vs. Purdue L, Alabama team total under 74.5 W
FRIDAY, APRIL 5 (+26.40 units)
2H / in-game plays/hedges: 2x Rockets +5.5 vs. Heat L, 2x Warriors 7.5 at Mavs W, 3x Rockets 2H +.5 vs. Heat L, 5x Kings/Celtics under 212.5 W, 4x Iowa/UConn 2H under 82.5 (WCBB) W, 3x Warriors +5.5 (aborting original game bet) W
5x plays: Ashlyn Watkins over 6.5 rebounds -130 (WCBB) W, Mavs (-4.5) vs. Warriors L, Warriors/Mavs under 222.5 W, Heat -3 at Rockets W, Heat ML -150 W, Rockets Team Total under 106.5 W
3x plas: Warriors/Mavs under 228 (from last night) W, NC State +11.5 vs. South Carolina (WCBB) L
1x play: Caitlin Clark over 5.5 made three-pointers (-130) L
THURSDAY, APRIL 4 (-4.9 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Heat -1.5 vs. Sixers L, 5x Sixers +5.5 at Heat -105 W, 4x Sixers +4.5 at Heat W, 4x Rockets +14.5 vs. Warriors L, 5x DEN/LAC under 221.5 W, 2x DEN/LAC over 214.5 L
Pre-game plays: 5x Heat -3 vs. Sixers L, 5x Knicks -3.5 vs. Kings W, 2x Zubac under 12.5 points L, 2x Hawks/Mavs over 227.5 L, Dante Exum over .5 made threes -190 L, 1x Kings/Knicks under 212 L
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 3 (-0.65 units)
2H / in-game plays: 5x Hawks -12.5 vs. Pistons (-120) L, 4x Thunder 1st Half +9.5 at Celtics L, 3x Nets 2H +4.5 vs. Pacers W, 3x Thunder 2H +2.5 at Celtics L, 4x Pistons +16.5 at Hawks W, 1x Pacers +1.5 at Nets L, 5x Cavs +13.5 at Suns in-game L, 5x Cavs/Suns 2H under 110.5 W
5x plays: Celtics -12 vs. Thunder W, Celtics 1st Half -7 vs. Thunder W
4x play: Peyton Pritchard over 1.5 made three-pointers +130 L
3x play: Pistons/Hawks under 224.5 L
2x plays: Josh Giddey under 6.5 assists -125 W, Josh Giddey under 30.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds W
1x play: Celtics 1st Half Team Total over 62.5 (-105) L, Grizzlies/Bucks under 217.5 W, Nets 1st Half +3.5 vs. Pacers W
TUESDAY, APRIL 2 (-13.6 units)
2H / in-game plays: 1x Utah +5.5 vs. Indiana State L, 1x Utah +6.5 vs. Indiana St. L, 3x Utah +9.5 vs. Indiana St. L, 3x Utah/Indiana St. 2H under 85.5 L, 2x Utah 2H +3 vs. Indiana St. L, 2x Bucks/Wiz 2H under 109.5 L, 4x Thunder/Sixers 2H under 112.5 L, 4x Warriors +4.5 vs. Mavs W
5x plays: Indiana St. -4 vs. Utah W, Mavs PK at Warriors L
MONDAY, APRIL 1 (-4.8 units)
5x plays: Bulls -2 vs. Hawks L, Suns ML +105 at Pelicans W
3x play: LSU +2 vs. Iowa (WCBB) L
2x plays: Derrick White over 2.5 made three-pointers (-145) (risking 2.9x) W
1x plays: USC +3.5 vs. UConn (WCBB) L, Charlotte Hornets 1st Half Team Total under 50.5 (-105) L, Nets/Pacers under 227 L