Doug’s Betting Card

Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.

Sportsbooks prefer you wager solely on marquee games and make multiple parlays. I do not oblige. That may entail taking days off or passing on exciting matchups. Winning takes occasional discipline but the good opportunities will present themselves – if one is mildly patient.

MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (often between 1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager. The log of every single wager, since we launched in mid-August, is located at the bottom of this page. Plus, this is the net result of each sport:

  • NFL: +12.1 units
  • NBA: -19.875 units
  • CFB: -5.3 units
  • MLB: +7.925 units
  • UFC: -13.08 units
  • WNBA: +3.0 units
  • MCBB: +30.03 units
  • WCBB: +22.10 units
  • NHL: -.3 units
  • Golf: -2.36 units

LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.

current plays

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1x Dodgers (-215) at Nationals

1x Mets under 3.5 runs at Giants (-135)

2x Ivica Zubac double-double +100

0.5x Luka Doncic Triple-double +245 (DraftKings)

1.5x Luka Doncic over 8.5 points in 1st Quarter (-120) (FanDuel)

0.5x Mavs/Clippers series to have a buzzer-beater +2800 (DraftKings)

5x Pelicans +7.5 at Thunder (Game 2)

3x Pelicans/Thunder under 211.5 (Game 2)

April 22 NFL Draft plays:

2x Brian Thomas over 19.5 (-145) (DraftKings)

1.5x Chop Robinson under 26.5 (-200) DraftKings)

0.3x Byron Murphy Top 10 +300 (DraftKings)

0.2x Joe Alt drafted Top 5 +425 (DraftKings)

0.1x Exact order #1-3: Williams, Daniels, Harrison (+4400) (FanDuel)

April 21 NFL Draft plays:

2x Byron Murphy under 16.5 (-275) (Caesars)

0.5x under 4.5 QB in 1st Round (+200)

0.1x Raiders to draft TE with 1st pick (+6000) (FanDuel)

1x Bo Nix over 32.5 (-210)

Earlier Futures plays:

April 19: 3x Pacers -120 vs. Bucks (Series Play)

April 18: 5x Jayden Daniels #2 pick -110 (FanDuel)

April 18: 0.6x JJ McCarthy #2 pick +2000 (DraftKings)

April 16: 0.2x Indiana Pacers to win Eastern Conference +4000

April 1: 1.2x Shai Gilgeous-Alexander MVP +2000 (DraftKings)

March 26: 2x Coby White +220 NBA Most Improved Player of the Year

March 21: 1x Jamahl Mosley NBA Coach of Year (+2100) (FanDuel)

March 21: .75x Victor Wembanyama Defensive Player of Year (+470) (FanDuel)

March 13: 3x Mark Daigneault NBA Coach of the Year (-220)

March 13: 5x Nikola Jokic MVP (-265)

March 10: 5x Nikola Jokic MVP (-170)

Feb. 27: 5x Mark Daigneault NBA Coach of the Year (-145)

Feb. 27: 4x Jayden Daniels NFL Draft #2 overall pick (+145)

Dec. 21: 2x Rudy Gobert NBA Defensive Player of the Year (-115)

completed plays / results

MONDAY, APRIL 22 (+2.5 units)

2H / in-game: 3x Lakers/Nuggets 2H under 113 W

2x Magic/Cavs under 202.5 W, 2.5x Jared Jones under 1.5 walks +115 L

SUNDAY, APRIL 21(-15.18 units)

2H / in-game wagers: 3x Pacers/Bucks 2H under 116.5 (-105) (DraftKings)

5x Thunder -8 vs. Pelicans L, 5x Pacers (-1) at Bucks L, 5x Mavs -1.5 at Clippers L

March 13 future: 0.08x Erik Spoelstra NBA Coach of the Year (+20,000)

Feb 7 future: 1x Jalen Brunson NBA Clutch Player of the Year +2600

Jan. 31 future: 0.2x Anthony Edwards NBA MVP 100-to-1 odds

Feb 1 futures: 0.2x Jalen Brunson NBA MVP 150-to-1 odds, 0.2x Kawhi Leonard NBA MVP 150-to-1 odds

SATURDAY, APRIL 20(-3.50 units)

2x Suns +2 at Timberwolves L, 2x Magic/Cavs under 207.5 W, 3x Lakers +7 at Nuggets L

FRIDAY, APRIL 19 (+2.28 units)

Straight: 5x Pelicans -1 vs. Kings W, 2x Jose Alvarado over 2.5 assists L, 0.5x Mookie Betts over 1.5 total bases -105 L

THURSDAY, APRIL 18 (+1.0 units)

1x Giants -150 vs. D’Backs W

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 17 (-1.40 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x Heat ML +100 at Sixers L, 3x Sixers 2H -6.5 vs. Heat W, 5x Hawks/Bulls under 256.5 -105 W

Straight Plays: 0.2x Aaron Judge to hit HR in 1st AB on Wednesday +1100 L

Feb 25 Future: 3x Lakers to MISS the playoffs (-140) L

TUESDAY, APRIL 16 (-2.50 units)

2H / in-game plays: 4x LAL/NO 2H under 109.5 W, 3x LAL/NO under 214.5 +100 L, 1x LAL/NO over 207.5 in-game W

Straight wagers: 0.5x Phillies Team Total over 4.5 runs -135 W, 0.5x Dodgers Team Total over 5.5 runs -120 W, 5x Warriors -2.5 at Kings (-112) L


No plays

SUNDAY, APRIL 14 (+21.90 units)

2H / in-game plays: 4x Hornets 2H +8.5 at Cavs -113 (FanDuel) W, 5x Hawks/Pacers 2H over 120 L, 5x Pacers 2H Team Total over 62.5 -105 W, 5x Grizzlies 2H +4 vs. Nuggets W, 4x Mavs 2H Team Total under 52.5 W

5x Nuggets 1H -8 at Grizzlies W, 5x Nuggets -13.5 at Grizzlies W

April 12 future: 0.1x Matt Fitzpatrick +7500 to win Masters L

April 10 futures: 0.3x Joaquin Niemann 30-1 to win Masters L, 0.2x Cam Smith 50-1 to win Masters L

SATURDAY, APRIL 13 (-5.69 units)

Masters: 1x Max Homa -105 over Bryson DeChambeau (3rd Round) (2-ball) W

UFC 300: 2x Figueiredo via KO/TKO or SUB -105 over Garbrandt (DraftKings) W, 2x Parlay -143: Figueiredo ML (-330) and Nickal/Brundage under 1.5 (-330) L, 1x Andrade over Rodrigues -145 W, 0.5x Andrade/Rodriguez over 2.5 rounds -130 W, 0.2x Andrade via SUB +650 L, 0.08x Moicano R3 SUB +2400 L, 0.22x Moicano by DEC +550 L, 1x Yusuff over Lopes +125 L, 3x Harrison/Holm ends Inside the Distance -112 (FanDuel) W, 2x Sterling/Kattar fight will NOT go the distance +125 (FanDuel) L, 0.25x Oliveira via SUB over Tsarukyan +450 L, 2x Gaethje/Holloway under 4.5 -110 L, 0.25x Holloway via KO +650 W, 1x Zhang Weili via SUB +420 L, 3x Weili/Xiaonan will NOT go distance -150 (risk 4.5x) L

FRIDAY, APRIL 12 (+18.28 units)

2H / in-game plays: 3x Pacers +6.5 at Cavs (FanDuel) L, 2x CHA/BOS 2H under 110.5 L, 2x Bucks 2H +3.5 at Thunder W, 1x Bucks 2H ML +154 at Thunder L, 5x DET/DAL 2H under 110.5 W, 5x Spurs +9.5 vs. Nuggets (-105) (DraftKings) W, 3x Nuggets -7.5 at Spurs (+112) (FD) L, 3.5x Blazers 2H Team Total under 55.5 points (-105) L

5x Thunder -14 vs. Bucks W, 5x Cavs -3 vs. Pacers W, 5x Luke Kornet over 9.5 rebounds -115 (DraftKings) W, 3x Payton Pritchard over 22.5 points (-105) (FanDuel) W, 5x Victor Wembanyama over 4.5 assists (-115) (FanDuel) W

The Masters (posted April 10): 1x Tiger Woods to miss cut -115 (DraftKings) L, 1x: Phil Mickelson to make cut +110 (DraftKings) W, 2x: Gary Woodland over Tiger Woods -125 (Tournament Matchup)(FanDuel) L

Jan 9 future: 1x Zach Edey NO Wooden Award +230 L

THURSDAY, APRIL 11 (+5.0 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x GSW/POR 2H under 111.5 W

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 10 (+5.70 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x Grizzlies 2H Team Total under 48.5 W, 2x Grizzlies/Cavs 2H under 109 P, 5x Mavs/Heat 2H under 106.5 W, 2x T’Wolves/Nuggets 2H under 110.5 L, 5x Bones Hyland over 34.5 points -105 (FanDuel) W

5x play: Suns 1H -6.5 at Clippers L

Feb 20 futures: .4x Jazz to make Western Conference play-in +1200 L, 0.2x Raptors to make Eastern Conference play-in +1200 L

Dec. 20 future: 1x Pistons under 9.5 wins adjusted total +900 L

TUESDAY, APRIL 9 (-11.30 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x GSW/LAL under 235.5 L, 5x Warriors -10.5 at Lakers W, 5x Lakers +12.5 vs. Warriors (+110) (FanDuel) L

5x plays: Peyton Pritchard over 11.5 points (+105) L, Sam Hauser over 10.5 points L

3x plays: Celtics/Bucks 1H over 117.5 L, Derrick White over 2.5 made three-pointers (-120) W, Wembanyama over 4.5 assists (-150) W

1x plays: Heat/Hawks over 222 W, Magic/Rockets over 215 W

MONDAY, APRIL 8 (+0.40 units)

2x plays: Donovan Clingan +180 to win M.O.P. L, Purdue/UConn under 145.5 W

1x plays: Braden Smith over 21.5 points + assists + rebounds (-125) W, Yankees (-1.5, +130) vs. Marlins W, Dodgers over 4.5 runs at Twins L

0.5x play: UConn (-7) vs. Purdue W

March 8 future: 0.3x on Duke 23-1 to win NCAA Tournament L

Jan. 9 futures: 0.7x Hunter Dickinson Wooden Award winner +1000 L, 0.3x Kyle Filipowski Wooden Award winner +4000 L

SUNDAY, APRIL 7 (+6.95 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x Blazers +10.5 at Celtics -105 L, 0.5x Blazers ML +1100 at Celtics L, 3x Lakers 2H Team Total under 56.5 W

5x plays: D’Angelo Russell over 3.5 rebounds +105 W, D’Angelo Russell over 11.5 Rebounds + Assists +100 W

April 5 Future: 0.3x WCBB Tourney to have a buzzer-beater +3000 L

SATURDAY, APRIL 6 (+4.3 units)

2H / in-game plays: 3x Cavs/Lakers under 226.5 W

4x Chepe Mariscal +115 vs. Morgan Charriere (UFC) W, 2x Pistons/Nets under 215 L

1x plays: Chris Curtis +180 vs. Brendan Allen (UFC) L, NC State +9.5 vs. Purdue L, Alabama team total under 74.5 W

FRIDAY, APRIL 5 (+26.40 units)

2H / in-game plays/hedges: 2x Rockets +5.5 vs. Heat L, 2x Warriors 7.5 at Mavs W, 3x Rockets 2H +.5 vs. Heat L, 5x Kings/Celtics under 212.5 W, 4x Iowa/UConn 2H under 82.5 (WCBB) W, 3x Warriors +5.5 (aborting original game bet) W

5x plays: Ashlyn Watkins over 6.5 rebounds -130 (WCBB) W, Mavs (-4.5) vs. Warriors L, Warriors/Mavs under 222.5 W, Heat -3 at Rockets W, Heat ML -150 W, Rockets Team Total under 106.5 W

3x plas: Warriors/Mavs under 228 (from last night) W, NC State +11.5 vs. South Carolina (WCBB) L

1x play: Caitlin Clark over 5.5 made three-pointers (-130) L

THURSDAY, APRIL 4 (-4.9 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x Heat -1.5 vs. Sixers L, 5x Sixers +5.5 at Heat -105 W, 4x Sixers +4.5 at Heat W, 4x Rockets +14.5 vs. Warriors L, 5x DEN/LAC under 221.5 W, 2x DEN/LAC over 214.5 L

Pre-game plays: 5x Heat -3 vs. Sixers L, 5x Knicks -3.5 vs. Kings W, 2x Zubac under 12.5 points L, 2x Hawks/Mavs over 227.5 L, Dante Exum over .5 made threes -190 L, 1x Kings/Knicks under 212 L

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 3 (-0.65 units)

2H / in-game plays: 5x Hawks -12.5 vs. Pistons (-120) L, 4x Thunder 1st Half +9.5 at Celtics L, 3x Nets 2H +4.5 vs. Pacers W, 3x Thunder 2H +2.5 at Celtics L, 4x Pistons +16.5 at Hawks W, 1x Pacers +1.5 at Nets L, 5x Cavs +13.5 at Suns in-game L, 5x Cavs/Suns 2H under 110.5 W

5x plays: Celtics -12 vs. Thunder W, Celtics 1st Half -7 vs. Thunder W

4x play: Peyton Pritchard over 1.5 made three-pointers +130 L

3x play: Pistons/Hawks under 224.5 L

2x plays: Josh Giddey under 6.5 assists -125 W, Josh Giddey under 30.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds W

1x play: Celtics 1st Half Team Total over 62.5 (-105) L, Grizzlies/Bucks under 217.5 W, Nets 1st Half +3.5 vs. Pacers W

TUESDAY, APRIL 2 (-13.6 units)

2H / in-game plays: 1x Utah +5.5 vs. Indiana State L, 1x Utah +6.5 vs. Indiana St. L, 3x Utah +9.5 vs. Indiana St. L, 3x Utah/Indiana St. 2H under 85.5 L, 2x Utah 2H +3 vs. Indiana St. L, 2x Bucks/Wiz 2H under 109.5 L, 4x Thunder/Sixers 2H under 112.5 L, 4x Warriors +4.5 vs. Mavs W

5x plays: Indiana St. -4 vs. Utah W, Mavs PK at Warriors L

MONDAY, APRIL 1 (-4.8 units)

5x plays: Bulls -2 vs. Hawks L, Suns ML +105 at Pelicans W

3x play: LSU +2 vs. Iowa (WCBB) L

2x plays: Derrick White over 2.5 made three-pointers (-145) (risking 2.9x) W

1x plays: USC +3.5 vs. UConn (WCBB) L, Charlotte Hornets 1st Half Team Total under 50.5 (-105) L, Nets/Pacers under 227 L

March 2024 Bets

February 2024 Bets

January 2024 Bets

December 2023 Bets

November 2023 Bets

October 2023 Bets

September 2023 Bets

August 2023 Bets

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