Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.
Sportsbooks prefer you wager solely on marquee games and make multiple parlays. I do not oblige. That may entail taking days off or passing on exciting matchups. Winning takes occasional discipline but the good opportunities will present themselves – if one is mildly patient.
MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager. The log of every single wager since we launched in August ’23 appears at the bottom of this page.
Since launching in-game alerts on March 11th, which provides all the tools to simulate a bettor’s actual experience, my betting card is -6.54 units overall.
Below is the net result of each sport since we launched last August:
- NFL: +23.40 units
- CFB: -5.30 units
- MLB: -2.324 units
- MCBB: +30.03 units
- WCBB: +22.10 units
- UFC: -6.11 units
- NHL: +11.705 units
- NBA season: -4.845 units
- NBA playoffs: -155.527 units
- WNBA: +62.695 units
- GOLF: -5.285 units
- MISC.: -5.65 units
LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.
CURRENT PLAYS – SATURDAY
MLB
0.5x Tigers -112 vs. Twins (FanDuel)
0.5x Tigers First 5 -125 vs. Twins (DraftKings)
1x Mets -108 vs. Braves (FanDuel)
1x Atlanta Braves to MISS playoffs +310 (DK)
OLYMPIC WATER POLO
1x Women’s: China +6.5 -115 vs. Australia (DK) 2:05pm ET
1x Men’s: Italy -1.5, -130 vs. USA (FanDuel)
OLYMPICS
3x Leon Marchand to win GOLD in Men’s Swimming 400 IM -500 (DK)
OLYMPIC MEN’S BASKETBALL (posted earlier in week)
1x LeBron James Men’s Basketball MVP +350 (DK)
0.1x Germany to win Gold Medal +3000 (DK)
1x Germany to win a medal +250 (DK)
0.25x Serbia +15.5 vs. USA -112 (FanDuel)
2x Serbia/USA under 182 (FanDuel)
2.5x Canada -8 vs. Greece
3x Australia -5.5 vs. Spain
PREVIOUS FUTURES PLAYS:
July 24: 0.4x Francisco Lindor NL MVP 50/1 (DK)
July 24: 5x Temple under 2.5 wins -110 (DraftKings)
July 17: 0.2x Caitlin Clark WNBA MVP +20000
July 9: 0.75x Yankees to miss the playoffs +2000
July 5: 0.2x Paul Skenes to win N.L. Cy Young +5500
July 1: 3x Napheesa Collier WNBA MVP +2000
June 25: 5x Tennessee Titans under 6.5 wins (-135)
June 18: 3x Mercury +3000 Championship
June 16: 2x Jonquel Jones WNBA MVP +5000
June 12: 2x Minnesota Lynx to win WNBA title +1100
June 12: 3x A’ja Wilson to NOT win WNBA MVP +144
June 12: 5x Mystics over 8.5 wins -128 (hedge of June 8)
June 8: 5x Washington Mystics under 9.5 wins +134
June 4: 0.3x Luis Gil A.L. Cy Young Award +2500
June 3: 4x Mystics under 10.5 wins +108
June 2: 1x Phoenix Mercury to win WNBA title +5000
June 2: 2x Minnesota Lynx to win WNBA title +1700
May 14: 3x Seattle Storm over 24.5 wins -104
May 8: 3x Jewell Loyd WNBA MVP +2400
May 3: 4x Caitlin Clark to win WNBA MVP +1200
COMPLETED PLAYS / RESULTS
FRIDAY, JULY 26(-8.6 units)
In-game
4x Yankees under 4.5 runs -130 L
2x Yankees under 4.5 -135 L
3x White Sox under 1.5 runs -125 W
3 Rockies under 2.5 runs -125 L
MLB
1x Red Sox +105 vs. Yankees W
2x Nestor Cortes over 2.5 ER allowed -115 W
1.5x Mariners/White Sox under 7 +100 L
1.5x Mariners/White Sox First 5 under 3.5 +100 L
THURSDAY, JULY 25 (+5.15 units)
In-game play
3x Mets/Braves under 6.5 -135 W
2x Mets Team Total under 2.5 -125 L
3x ATL/NYM under 5.5 +105 W
1x Lindor 3rd AB a Walk/HBP +750 L
MLB
1x Braves/Mets under 7 +100 W
1.5x A’s +100 at Angels W
WEDNESDAY, JULY 24(-10.375 units)
In-game
2x Mets/Yankees under 10.5 -150 L
3x Mets/Yankees under 10.5 +110 L
2x Mets/Yankees under 10.5 -125 L
4x Mets/Yankees under 9.5 -105 L
MLB
2x Aaron Judge NO RBI -155 W
1x Mets First 5 Team Total under 1.5 +100 L
0.5x NYM/NYY First 5 under 4.5 runs -115 L
1x Reds/Braves under 8 runs (Game 2) PPD
2x Giants over 2.5 runs -165 W
0.1x Tyler Fitzgerald to hit HR +850 L
TUESDAY, JULY 23 (+1.55 units)
In-game
3x Mets/Yanks under 7.5 -130 W
2x SF/LAD under 6.5 -105 L
MLB
0.5x Aaron Judge under .5 Walks +185 L
2x Paul Skenes over 7.5 Strikeouts +100 W
0.1 Paul Skenes to throw a no-hitter thru 5 innings +2100 L
0.75x Angels First 5 team total under 1.5 runs -130 L
MONDAY, JULY 22 (+3.40 units)
In-game: 3x Giants/Dodgers under 6.5 -113 W
MLB
1x Aaron Judge over 0.5 walks -105 L
0.5x Tigers -110 at Guardians W
0.5x Tarik Skubal over 6.5 Strikeouts +106 L
2x Blake Snell over 14.5 outs recorded -165 W
NBA
0.5x Grizzlies (-2.5) vs. Heat L
SUNDAY, JULY 21(-2.825 units)
Sunday MLB
1x White Sox First 5 Team Total under 1.5 -130 W
1x Royals First 5 -.5 -140 L
0.5x CWS/KC First 5 under 4.5 -113 W
0.5x CWS/KC under 8 -102 W
The Open Championship (posted Wednesday)
To Win: 0.2x Jon Rahm 22-1 L, 0.2x Tyrrell Hatton 28-1 L, 0.2x Viktor Hovland 33-1 L, 0.2x Tony Finau 50-1 L, 0.1x Henrik Stenson 500-1 L
0.3x Scottie Scheffler to MISS cut +600 L
3x Tony Finau Top 30 +100 L
1.5x Tyrell Hatton vs. Bryson DeChambeau -110 (Tourney) W
0.5x Jon Rahm vs. Tommy Fleetwood -105 (Tourney) W
0.5x Viktor Hovland vs. Robert MacIntyre -145 (Tourney) L
0.3x Tommy Fleetwood Top 20 +100 L
0.2x Aaron Rai Top 20 +220 L
SATURDAY, JULY 20(-2.98 units)
In-play
2x Thomas Peterson -350 vs. Usman W
4x WNBA All-Star Game under 191.5 -113 L
UFC
0.5x Thomas Petersen +100 W
1x Parlay +105: Usman/Petersen over 2.5 + Carolina/Pudilova over 2.5 W
0.5x Pudilova +100 L
0.5x Pudilova by DEC +160 L
1x ML Parlay +127: Miranda Maverick + Steve Garcia W
0.5x Miranda Maverick via DEC -105 W
0.1x Cody Gibson in Round 2 +650 L
0.1x Cody Gibson in Round 3 +1000 L
0.5x Cody Gibson + Over 1.5 parlay +115 L
1.5x Hyder Amil +140 “Decision Only” No Action
2x Bruno Silva -118 W
1x Bruno Silva Inside The Distance (“ITD”) +220 W
0.5x Bill Algeo ITD +250 L
0.1x Bill Algeo in Round 2 +1000 L
0.1x Bill Algeo in Round 3 +1200 L
2x Kaynan Kruschewsky -130 L
2x Steve Garcia ITD -120 W
3x Lemos/Jandiroba over 2.5 -170 L
FRIDAY, JULY 19(-1.85 units)
MLB: 1x Phillies (-135) at Pirates L
WNBA: 0.5x Kayla McBride to win 3-pt contest +110 L
THURSDAY, JULY 18 (+0.0 units)
No plays
WEDNESDAY, JULY 17(-6.06 units)
May 14 future: 5x Minnesota Lynx over 17.5 wins -113 W (Grading these to consolidate. Will correct if somehow graded incorrectly)
May 14 future: 3x Dallas Wings under 20.5 wins -102 W
June 8 future: 3x Dallas Wings under 18.5 wins +108 W
In-game
5x Fever +3.5 -110 (Halftime) L
5x Fever ML +150 L
1.5x Wings ML +350 (Hedge/Scalp) W
2x Wings +4.5 +100 (Hedge/Middle) W
WNBA
5x Lynx -8 vs. Dream L
5x Lynx 1H Team Total over 41.5 -108 L
3x ML Parlay: Lynx + Fever -105 L
TUESDAY, JULY 16(-22.975 units)
In-game
2x Sun/Liberty 2H under 75.5 -108 W
5x Sun +1.5 -104 L
5x Sun +.5 -113L
5x Aces team total over 86.5 -115 L
5x Aces -4.5 -105 vs. Sky L
MLB
1.5x MLB All-Star Game under 7.5 runs -115 L
WNBA
1x Sparks +9 vs. Storm W
2x A’ja Wilson under 12.5 rebounds -120
MONDAY, JULY 15 (+0.0 units)
No plays
SUNDAY, JULY 14 (+11.85 units)
In-game
5x Aces -6.5 -105 at Mystics W
3x Mystics +9.5 -105 (HEDGE) L
5x Fever +7.5 -115 W
WNBA
2x Dream/Storm under 156 W
3x Dream team total under 70.5 W
SATURDAY, JULY 13(-8.67 units)
UFC
1.5x Rose Namajunas -225 W
1.5x Ponzinibbio/Salikhov under 2.5 rounds -118 L
2x Bonfim/Loosa under 2.5 rounds -170 L
0.2x Ange Loosa to win in Round 2 +1900 L
0.2x Ange Loosa to win in Round 3 +2200 L
0.25x Christian Rodriguez to win in R1 +430 L
0.25x Joshua Van to win Inside the Distance +350 L
0.5x Luana Santos via SUB +180 W
0.5x Jackson/Blackshear under 2.5 rounds +180 W
0.2x Josh Frend in R2 +650 L
0.2x Josh Frend in R3 +1000 L
WNBA
2x Angel Reese under 12.5 rebounds +114 L
5x Sparks/Wings over 172.5 L
2x under 176.5 -104 (Halftime Hedge) W
FRIDAY, JULY 12 (+1.60 units)
In-game
3x Fever 2nd Half +2 L
4x Lynx +11.5 +104 L
3x Storm -9.5 -115 W
MLB
1x Kyle Hendricks under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-155) W
WNBA
2x Aces/Dream under 170 W
4x Atlanta Dream under 77.5 points W
1x Lynx +6.5 at Storm L
THURSDAY, JULY 11(-3.68 units)
2x Angel Reese to record 12+ rebounds -184 L
WEDNESDAY, JULY 10(-6.46 units)
In-play:
4x Liberty/Sun 2H under 78.5 -125 W
4x Aces/Storm under 160.5 L
3.8x Storm +6.5 -122 (Hedge/Middle) W
WNBA:
2x Liberty -2.5 at Sun W
3x ML Parlay -112: Fever and Sky L
4x Aces -4.5 at Storm (***will hedge with in-game) W
1x Wings +7.5 at Mercury L
MLB:
2x Giants -150 vs. Blue Jays L
TUESDAY, JULY 9 (+2.45 units)
WNBA: 3x Lynx/Sparks under 158 W
MLB: 0.5x Rockies team total under 3.5 -111 L
MONDAY, JULY 8 (+0.50 units)
0.5x Rockies under 4.5 runs -150 W
SUNDAY, JULY 7 (+19.0 units)
WNBA: 2x Sun 1st Half -8.5 vs. Dream W
MLB: 1.5x Tigers -135 at Reds W
GOLF (posted Wednesday):
0.5x Denny McCarthy to win +2200 L
0.5x Davis Thompson to win +2200 11xW
2x McCarthy to finish Top 20 +125 W
2x Davis Thompson to finish Top 20 +125 W
SATURDAY, JULY 6(-1.15 units)
MLB: 1x Royals -1.5, -115 at Rockies L
FRIDAY, JULY 5(-1.55 units)
In-game: 2x Dream +7.5 -115 W
MLB: 1x Kyle Freeland under 3.5 Strikeouts -185 L
WNBA:
5x Wings -1.5 vs. Dream W
5x Aces -12.5 at Sparks L
2x Aces 1st Half -7 at Sparks L
THURSDAY, JULY 4 (-9.176 units)
Hot Dog Eating Contest: 2x James Webb -8.5 hot dogs -115 vs. Sudo L, 1x Ebihara +5.5 hot dogs -130 vs. Sudo L, 0.2x Patrick Bertoletti to win men’s contest +900 W
In-game: 5x Sun +5.5 -115 W
WNBA: 5x Lynx -2 vs. Sun -112 L, 5x Lynx ML -132 vs. Sun L
MLB:
0.5x Max Scherzer under 4.5 Strikeouts -105 W
0.4x Max Scherzer under 2.5 ER allowed -169 L
WEDNESDAY, JULY 3 (+7.0 units)
In-game: 2x Wings +10.5 -115 W
WNBA: 5x Mercury -4.5 -105 at Wings W
TUESDAY, JULY 2 (-7.45 units)
In-game: 3x Sparks ML -140 L, 5x Mystics +10.5 at Sparks -104 W, 4x Mystics +4.5 at Sparks -113 W, 3x Fever/Aces 1H over 95.5 +100 L, 5x Fever +11.5 at Aces -115 L, 2x Sky/Dream under 164.5 -108 W
WNBA: 3x Sky/Dream under 159.5 L, 2x Lynx +6.5 at Liberty L
MONDAY, JULY 1 (-2.20 units)
2x Wings +11.5 at Storm L
