Below are bets that I actually make. My approach entails aggregating conversations with extremely respected oddsmakers and bettors, along with my own handicapping. I want to share that insight and intel.
Sportsbooks prefer you wager solely on marquee games and make multiple parlays. I do not oblige. That may entail taking days off or passing on exciting matchups. Winning takes occasional discipline but the good opportunities will present themselves – if one is mildly patient.
MAIN BETS – Dollar amounts differ for each person but unit sizes (1x through 5x) are an effective method. 5x represents my largest and most confident wager.
LEANS – These represent mere opinions on other games where my conviction is not high enough to place a wager.
completed plays / results
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 31 (-2.75 units)
In-game
3x ALA/MICH 1Q under 6.5 -120 L
5x Michigan 1H -11.5 -115 (late 1Q) L
5x Alabama 1H +13.5 -115 (HEDGE) (mid 2Q) W
5x Alabama ML -125 (late 1H) L
3x Alabama 3Q ML -240 P
4x Alabama 3Q -2.5 -135 L
4.2x Mich 3Q +1.5 -125 W
3x Michigan 3Q ML +280 P
3x Michigan +3.5 -110 W
3x PSU/BSU 1Q under 7.5 -175 (mid 1Q) L
3x PSU/BSU 1Q under 10.5 -130 (mid 1Q) L
4x PSU/BSU 1H under 30.5 -130 W
5x PSU/BSU 3Q under 16.5 -114 W
4x PSU/BSU under 45.5 -188 (mid 4Q) W
CFB
0.25x Michigan +16 vs. Alabama W
2x Louisville/Washington over 49.5 W
1.5x Baylor/LSU over 63 W
0.5x Boise State +11.5 vs. Penn State L
MONDAY, DECEMBER 30 (-3.63 units)
In-game
4x Missouri +2.5 +110 (early 4Q) L
3.5x Iowa 4Q +5.5 +105 (mid-4Q) W
3x DET/SF 3Q under 18.5 -230 (late 3Q) L
3x DEN/UTAH under 245.5 (mid 3Q) L
NBA
0.5x Alex Sarr over 1.5 three-pointers +114 W
0.5x Russell Westbrook over 11.5 Rebs + Asts -130 W
1x Nuggets over 123.5 -102 W
CFB
1x Missouri -2.5 vs. Iowa W
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 29 (-8.08 units)
In-game
3x Colts 1Q -2.5 -130 L
3x Saints 2Q ML -212 P
3x Jets 3Q ML -162 L
5x Colts ML +100 L
2x Jets +31.5 +260 W
3x MIA/CLE 1Q under 3.5 -204 W
4x Dolphins 3Q -7.5 -115 L
3x Commanders ML -238 W
NBA
5x Nets under 96.5 -108 L
NFL
0.75x Titans/Jaguars over 39 L
0.75x Dolphins/Browns 1st Half under 17 -115 W
1.5x Bucky Irving over 15.5 receiving yards -110 W
1.5x Rachaad White over 15.5 receiving yards -110 L
1.5x Josh Allen over 1.5 passing TD +105 W
0.4x Jonnu Smith over 3.5 receptions -135 L
1x Alec Pierce (IND) longest reception over 17.5 yards -113 W
0.3x Alec Pierce 60+ receiving yards +500 W
0.2x Alec Pierce 70+ receiving yards +850 W
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 28 (+13.27 units)
In-game
3x LAC/NE 1Q under 3.5 -140 L
3x Pats 1st Half team total under 3.5 -126 (late 1Q) L
4x Chargers 1st Half -10.5 +100 at Patriots (late 1Q) W
5x Chargers -14.5 at Patriots (late 1Q) W
1.5x 4th Patriots Drive – TD +475 (HEDGE) 7.125x W
4x Patriots +17.5 -135 (HEDGE) L
3x Iowa St./Miami over 81.5 W
4x Iowa St./MIA 1H over 55.5 -120 W
3x Bengals 1H +2.5 +144 vs. Broncos W
3x ARZ/LAR 1Q under 2.5 -105 W
5x Rams -7.5 -120 vs. Cardinals L
3x ARZ/LAR 3Q under 6.5 -135 W
NBA
2x D’Angelo Russell over 2.5 rebounds -162 L
1x D’Angelo Russell 4+ rebounds +150 L
CFB
0.5x UConn +2.5 vs. North Carolina W
0.5x Boston College +4 vs. Nebraska L
1.5x Lafayette/TCU over 60.5 L
1x BYU +2.5 vs. Colorado W
NFL
2x Broncos/Bengals over 50.5 W
2x ML Parlay +107: Bengals and Rams W
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 27 (-19.65 units)
In-game
3x OKL/NAVY 3Q under .5 -255 L
3x GT/Vandy 1Q under 2.5 +105 L
2x Suns +4.5 vs. Mavs (HEDGE) (mid 1Q) L
2x Suns +6.5 -105 (HEDGE) (end 3Q) L
3x USC/TAMU 1H under 21.5 -130 W
3x USC/TAMU 3Q under 17.5 -146 L
CFB
1x Navy over 22.5 points L
1x Georgia Tech -3 vs. Vanderbilt L
10x Texas Tech -2.5 (middle play) L
1x Taylen Green over 45.5 rushing yards -113 W
4x Syracuse -18.5 vs. Washington State L
NBA
1x Nets under 101.5 points -108 W
1.5x Jayson Tatum over 29.5 points +105 L
0.5x Nikola Jokic over 1.5 three-pointers -120 L
10x Mavs +1 at Suns (middle play) W
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 26 (-21.50 units)
In-game
5x Pitt -4.5 vs. Toledo L
4x Bulls team total under 115.5 L
CFB
1x Kansas State -7 vs. Rutgers L
2x Bowling Green -8 vs. Arkansas St. L
4x Bowling Green 1st Half over 16.5 points W
1x Bowling Green/Arkansas St. over 53.5 W
NBA
0.25x Hornets -4.5 at Wizards L
9.75x Hornets -5 at Wizards (will hedge) L
1x Alex Sarr over 1.5 three-pointers W
0.5x Bucks -9.5 vs. Nets L
0.25x Nets under 99.5 points L
2.25x more Nets under 99.5 L
0.5x Blazers 1Q ML -120 vs. Jazz W
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 25 (-11.63 units)
In-game
3x PHI/BOS 4Q under 52.5 -105 L
4x Warriors -2.5 +100 vs. Lakers (HALFTIME) L
3.5x Nuggets ML -122 at Suns (HALFTIME) L
NFL
1x 6-pt Teaser: Steelers +8.5 and Rams -.5 L
3x Sam Darnold Comeback Players of the Year +600 (FD)
LEAN: Ravens -5.5 W
NBA
0.25x PJ Washington under 6.5 rebounds L
1x Mavs -5 vs. T’Wolves L
1x Lakers/Warriors under 224 L
2x Nuggets -2.5 at Suns L
3x Jusuf Nurkic 3+ assists +135 W
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 24 (+0.50 units)
CFB
0.5x USF/San Jose St. over 63.5 W
MONDAY, DECEMBER 23 (+16.63 units)
In-game
3x UTSA 1Q ML -110 P
2x CC/UTSA 1Q under 0.5 -215 W
3x CC/UTSA 1H under 18.5 -110 L
5x UTSA -23.5 (mid 2Q) W
5x more UTSA -28.5 (mid 2Q) W
3x CC/UTSA 3Q Under 10.5 -128 W
3x Coastal Carolina +34.5 -115 (HEDGE) (mid-3Q) W
4x Coastal Carolina +31.5 (HEDGE) (end of 3Q) W
3x CC/UTSA over 50.5 -118 (pseudo HEDGE) (early 4Q) W
3x Nets over 102.5 team total -125 L
3x NO/GB 3Q under 3.5 -118 W
3x NO/GB under 27.5 -145 L
NFL
0.5x Saints/Packers under 44 W
Sept. 16 future: 3x Panthers under 3.5 wins -104 L
Aug. 26 future: 0.5x Brock Purdy to lead NFL in passing yards +2500 L
Sept. 4 future: 3x Bryce Young over 3,200.5 passing yards L
Sept. 1 future: 3x A. Richardson under 3,075.5 yds -112 W
Sept. 29 future: 0.5x Jayden Daniels MVP +6000 L
NBA
0.5x Jazz under 108.5 L
1x Cavs -14 vs. Jazz L
1x Brooke Lopez 3+ three-pointers +180 W
0.5x Jazz/Heat under 210 W
1.5x Jazz under 99.5 points W
2x Jalen Duren over 9.5 rebounds L
CFB
1x Coastal Carolina/UTSA over 56 W
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 22 (+2.18 units)
In-game
3x LAR/NYJ 3Q under .5 -225 W
3x NE/BUF 1Q under 14.5 -154 W
5x JAX/LV under 40.5 W
5x JAX/LV 3Q under 0.5 -225 L
NFL
0.5x Cardinals/Panthers over 47 W
0.5x Commanders +4, -105 vs. EaglesW
0.75x Bears +7 vs. Lions L
0.25x Patriots 1st Half +8.5 at Bills W
2x ML Parlay -239: Bengals and Falcons W
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21 (+31.00 units)
In-game
5x SMU/PSU 1Q under 9.5 -110 W
3x WCBB Duke PK at USF -110 (entering 4Q) L
5x SMU/PSU 3Q under 12.5 +114 W
3x HOU/KC under 46.5 -290 W
3x Clemson +21.5 at Texas -106 (HEDGE) (mid-2Q) W
1x Clemson 2H ML +240 (HEDGE) W
1x Clemson 2H +6.5 +100 (HEDGE) W
3x Clemson +14.5 -135 (HEDGE) (entering 4Q) W
ML PARLAYS
1.5x Chiefs and Texas -118 W
2x Ravens and Montana St. -134 W
3x Ravens and Texas -172 W
CFB
1x SMU +8.5 at Penn State L
0.25x SMU/Penn State under 52.5 W
2x Clemson TT under 18.5 points L
10x Texas -12.5 vs. Clemson (market play; will hedge) W
Oct 5 futures: 0.5x Kirk Cousins MVP +3000 L……0.5x Brock Purdy MVP +1400 L
Nov. 21 future: 0.25x George Pickens NFL Receiving Yards leader +4000
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 20 (-17.10 units)
In-game
3x Ohio/Jax St 1Q under 7.5 -175 L
5x Ohio/Jax St 1H under 33.5 +100 L
2x Jax St 2Q ML +340 L
3x Tulane/Florida 1H under 13.5 -155 W
5x Florida -12.5 vs. Tulane (mid 2Q) W
additional 5x Florida -11.5 -120 (mid 2Q) W
3x Tulane +15.5 (HEDGE) (early 3Q) L
2x Tulane +19.5 -195(HEDGE) (mid 4Q) L
4x Tulane/Florida under 26.5 -140 (mid 4Q) L
CFB
0.25x Ohio/Jax St. under 57.5 W
2x ML Parlay -121: James Madison and Notre Dame W
NBA
2x Kelly Oubre 6+ Rebounds -120 L
1x Bucks/Cavs under 221 L
3x AJ Green over 2.5 three-pointers -110 L
0.5x AJ Green 4+ three-pointers +200 L
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19 (-2.55 units)
In-game
3x Ga Southern/Sam Houston 1Q under 7.5 -130 W
3x Hornets ML -125 (HALFTIME) L
4x LAC/DAL under 209.5 (HALFTIME) L
NFL
0.5x Broncos/Chargers under 41.5 L
1x Justin Herbert under 10.5 rushing yards L
0.1x Tucker Fisk 1st Touchdown +7000 L
NBA
2x Hornets -4, -120 at Wizards L
1.5x Raptors -2.5 vs. Nets L
1x Nets under 107.5 -105 W
1x Celtics 1st Half over 63.5 points -115 L
1.5x Nikola Vucevic over 26.5 Points + Rebounds -115 L
3.5x PJ Washington over 7.5 rebounds -105 W
1x Walker Kessler over 20.5 Points + Rebounds -102 L
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 18 (+7.00 units)
In-game
3x WKU/JMU 1Q under 7.5 -175 W
3x WKU/JMU 1H under 22.5 -110 W
CFB
0.5x WKU/James Madison under 51.5 W
0.5x Cal/UNLV under 48 W
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 17 (-2.55 units)
In-game
5x Thunder -3.5 -110 vs. Bucks (HALFTIME) L
NBA
1x Giannis Antetokounmpo over 11.5 rebounds -129 W
0.5x Isaiah Hartenstein under 11.5 rebounds -110 L
0.5x Damian Lillard 3+ three-pointers -195 W
0.2x Giannis Antetokounmpo triple-double +1000 W
MONDAY, DECEMBER 16 (+22.00 units)
In-game
2x ATL/LV 1Q under .5 -300 L
2x Raiders +10.5 -115 (HEDGE) W
5x ATL/LV 1H under 16.5 -118 W
4x ATL/LV 3Q under 6.5 -130 W
2x Raiders 4Q ML +200 (HEDGE) W
3x Bears +18.5 -120 W
NFL
10x Falcons -5.5 at Raiders (market play) W
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 15 (-5.65 units)
In-game
3x GB/SEA over 42.5 (HEDGE) W
3x GB/SEA 3Q under 3.5 -115 L
4x Packers -17.5 -115 L
5x over 43.5 -105 (HEDGE) L
NFL Plays
4x Panthers ML -140 vs. Cowboys L
2x 6-point teaser -120: Commanders -1.5 and Vikings -0.5 L
1x CIN/TEN under 46.5 L
0.75x Ravens -16.5 at Giants W
additional 0.75x Ravens -16.5 -112 W
0.75x Steelers +5.5 at Eagles L
0.75x Chargers -2.5, -120 vs. Bucs L
2x BUF/DET over 54.5 W
0.5x Packers -2.5, -115 at Seahawks
10x GB/SEA under 46.5 -112 W
NFL Props
0.75x Derrick Henry over 102.5 rushing yards -110 L
0.2x Lamar Jackson 70+ rushing yards +300 L
0.1x Lamar Jackson 80+ rushing yards +470 L
0.5x Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 passing TD +116 W
0.2x Jake Haener 250+ passing yards +500 L
0.2x Leo McLaughlin (DEN) 60+ rushing yards +330 L
0.1x Leo McLaughlin (DEN) 70+ rushing yards +500 L
0.2x Jaylen Warren 50+ rushing yards +330 L
0.1x Jaylen Warren 60+ rushing yards +560 L
1x Stone Smart (LAC) over 29.5 receiving yards -113 W
1x Jared Goff over 1.5 passing TD -146 W
0.5x Jared Goff 3+ passing TD +270 W
0.75x Khalil Shakir over 57.5 receiving yards -110 L
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 14 (-9.08 units)
In-game
5x ATL/MIL under 223.5 W
1.5x ATL/MIL alt over 217.5 -105 (HALFTIME HEDGE) L
0.5x 3-way ML “TIE” +700 (HEDGE) L
5x HOU/OKC under 205.5 L/Bad Beat
5x HOU/OKC under 201.5 L
5x Rockets +9.5 +110 L
3x USA/WMU 3Q under 7.5 -230 W
CFB
2x Army/Navy over 39.5 W
Nov 15 future: 0.5x Jalen Milroe to win Heisman +2500
Oct 12 future: 0.5x Dillon Gabriel Heisman +1200
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 13 (-20.25 units)
In-game
5x LAC/DEN under 209.5 (HALFTIME) L
5x LAC/DEN under 206.5 +100 alt (entering 4Q) L
NBA
3.5x D’Angelo Russell 4+ rebounds -110 W
0.8x D’Angelo Russell 6+ rebounds +360 L
1.5x Brandon Miller 4+ made three-pointers -140 L
1x T’Wolves under 111.5 W
1x Nuggets under 116.5 L
1x Blazers 1st Half +1.5 vs. Spurs L
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 12 (+4.05 units)
NFL
0.5x Rams/49ers over 48.5 L
0.1x Colby Parkinson 1st TD +3300 L
NBA
3x Kings/Pelicans under 231.5 W
2x Cade Cunningham over 15.5 Rebs + Asts -105 W
1.5x Jacob Poeltl over 14.5 points -111 W
1.5x Jacob Poeltl over 25.5 Pts + Rebs -120 L
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 11 (+6.50 units)
In-game
4x GS/HOU under 199.5 W
5x GS/HOU under 191.5 W
3x GS/HOU over 185.5 +105 (HEDGE) L
NBA
0.5x Karl-Anthony Towns 13+ Rebounds -122 W
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 10 (-20.25 units)
In-game
5x Bucks -6.5 +106 vs. Magic (HALFTIME) L
5x more Bucks -5.5 -110 (during 3Q) L
3x Magic Team Total under 97.5 -110 (during 3Q) L
5x ORL/MIL under 202.5 -105 (entering 4Q) L
NBA
1x Goga Bitadze over 7.5 rebounds -130 W
2.5x Isaiah Hartenstein 4+ assists -145 L
1.5x Luka Doncic over 1.5 steals +102W
0.1x Jalen Suggs NBA Cup MVP +5000 L
MONDAY, DECEMBER 9 (-2.01 units)
NBA
0.5x Karl-Anthony Towns over 12.5 rebounds -105 W
1x Scottie Barnes 8+ rebounds -140 L-Injury
1x Scottie Barnes over 16.5 rebounds + assists -111 L-Injury
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 8 (+2.92 units)
Futures
Dec. 8: 2x Penn State to receive #6 seed +115 W
Dec. 8: 2x Notre Dame to receive #7 seed +120 W
Dec. 3: 2x Miami to make CFP +750 L
Dec. 3: 3.5x Alabama NOT to make playoff +196 W
Dec 1: 2x Miami to make CFB Playoff +1120 L
Dec 1: 0.5x Miami to win CFB championship +30000 L
In-game
5x Jags/Titans under 22.5 W
3x LAC/KC under 3.5 -260 W
5x Chiefs -6.5 -115 L
3x LAC/KC 1H under 9.5 -160 L
3x Mahomes over 243.5 passing yards -114 L
5x LAC/KC under 36.5 -145 W
another 5x under 36.5 -140 W
NFL
1x Browns/Steelers over 43.5 L
2x ML parlay -116: Dolphins and Steelers W
0.75x Titans -3.5 vs. Jaguars L
1x Raiders +7, -120 at Bucs L
0.5x Panthers +13.5 at Eagles W
1.5x Cardinals -3, +100 vs. Seahawks L
2x Bears +3, -105 at 49ers L
SAME GAME PARLAY
0.5x ATL/MIN +367 (FD): Darnold over 1.5 passing TD, Jefferson anytime TD, Aaron Jones under 62.5 rushing yards L
NFL Props
0.5x Sam Darnold over 1.5 passing TD -128 W
0.5x Aaron Jones under 62.5 rushing yards -110 L
0.75x Aidan O’Connell over 1.5 passing TD +138 L
2.5x Tre Tucker over 29.5 receiving yards -110 L
0.75x Bucky Irving over 14.5 rush attempts +102 L
1.5x Bucky Irving over 88.5 Rushing + Receiving yards -115 L
0.5x Elijah Moore over 49.5 receiving yards L
0.5x Georgia Pickens 70+ receiving yards N/A
1.5x Pat Freiermuth over 32.5 receiving yards -105 W
0.25x Russell Wilson over 231.5 passing yards L
2.5x Kenneth Gainwell over 20.5 rushing yards -115 W
1x Braelon Allen under 72.5 rushing + receiving yards L
0.5x Tyler Conklin over 18.5 receiving yards W
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 7 (-7.40 units)
In-game
3x ASU/Iowa St. 2H over 26.5 W
4x Grizzlies -4.5 at Celtics -105 W
NBA
3x Sam Houser over 3.5 rebounds +105 L
CBB
0.5x Miami +5 vs. Clemson L
CFB
5x Miami, OH -2.5 vs. Ohio L
5x Miami, OH ML -135 L
1x Arizona St. 1st Half ML -115 vs. Iowa St. W
0.5x Georgia/Texas under 50 W
0.5x Texas 1Q ML -140 W
0.5x Texas 1H ML -142 W
1x Antonio Williams (CLEM) 66+ receiving yards L
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 6 (-11.88 units)
In-game
3x Hawks over 121.5 points -110 W
NBA
1x Hawks -5.5 vs. Lakers L
1.5x Celtics 1st Half over 60.5 points -115 L
0.5x Payton Pritchard over 3.5 three-pointers +120 L
1x Kings/Spurs under 228.5 L
0.5x Bulls +3 vs. Pacers L
4x Blazers -2.5 vs. Jazz (will hedge in-game)
CFB
2x WKU/Jacksonville State under 58 L
2x UNLV +4.5 at Boise State L
1x Tulane/Army 1st Half under 23 L
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 5 (+0.15 units)
NFL: 0.75x Packers +3.5 at Lions W
NBA
1x Mavs -14 at Wizards W
1x Brandon Miller 4+ made three-pointers -140 W
2x Grizzlies -3.5 vs. Kings W
1x Grizzlies/Kings under 242 W
1x Ja Morant over 21.5 points -120 L
4x Rockets -4 at Warriors L
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 4 (+1.00 units)
NBA: 1x AJ Green (MIL) over 1.5 made 3-pointers -174 W
TUESDAY, DECEMBER 3 (-0.25 units)
In-game
4x Spurs/Suns under 208.5 (HALFTIME) W
5x Spurs team total under 97.5 (HALFTIME) W
5x Suns -13.5 -108 vs. Spurs (HALFTIME) L
NBA
1x Spurs +7.5 at Suns L
1x Rockets +1.5 at Kings L
1.5x Cade Cunningham over 15.5 Rebounds + Assists +100 L
2x Scottie Barnes over 15.5 Rebounds + Assists -125 L
1x Walker Kessler Double-Double +235 W
MONDAY, DECEMBER 2 (+5.35 units)
In-game
3x MIA/BOS under 216.5 -110 alt line (1st quarter) W
3x Heat under 101.5 -110 (1st quarter) W
NFL
1x Broncos -6, -115 vs. Browns W
1x Bo Nix over 23.5 rushing yards L
NBA
0.5x Nets/Bulls over 233 L
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 1 (+5.05 units)
In-play
3x BOS/CLE under 210.5 (HALFTIME) L
2.5 Cavs ML -145(HALFTIME) W
3x LeBron over 15.5 assists -135 L
3.5x 49ers/Bills under 51.5 -110 W
3x 49ers/Bills under 45.5 -180 W
another 3x 49ers/Bills under 45.5 -180 W
NFL
1x Titans/Commanders over 44.5 W
2x Chargers/Falcons over 47.5 L
0.5x Colts/Patriots under 42.5 L
1x Cardinals +3.5 at Vikings W
0.5x Bills -6 vs. 49ers W
NFL PROPS
1x Ja’Marr Chase over 76.5 receiving yards -110 W
1x Ladd McConkey over 64.5 receiving yards -110 W
1.5x Quentin Johnson over 37.5 receiving yards -110 L